NFL bets for today

[Bryan]

Wow! Did my Vikes kick the crap out of the Detroit Lie Downs or what?

It's sad that at 6-6 they're right in the NFC playoff hunt, but oh well... I'll take it!

Bryan

[AceHigh Pino]

Where's RC to come to the rescue for his Lions?!?!?!? LOL, jk bro.

[poker69]

I got some sick tickets at ford field (detroit) for dec.23rd... they are falling apart

[Bryan]

Well of course you did poker69. It's the day before Christmas Eve and the Lie Downs will be 6-8 going into that game. Shouldn't be too hard to get first row/50 yard line. Just messing with ya.

Bryan

[jcap1p]

Originally Posted by corpfan1

Also, that is a very NEGATIVE outlook...the bookie doesn't get the 10% if you WIN the bets!

What I am saying is that you have to hit over 55% in order to beat the vig. It's real tough to do that if you take a ton of games

[Jeremy]

Betting on sports and trying to make a living at it would be nearly impossible I think. I'm sure <1% of sports betters can actually do it and make a great living.

Personally I like betting parlays on NFL games each week for the following reasons:

1. It's an excuse to go for coffee with the guys on Saturday morning when we make our picks.

2. It makes all the games I am not truly interested in much funner to watch.

3. A big parlay is like a lottery ticket. You know you are probably going to lose, but if you do win, it is huge ROI.

Unfortunately, some of the biggest degenerate gamblers I know are primarily sports betters.

And in closing, the Bears got robbed on the overturned call in the 4th quarter. No way that there was "indisputable" evidence that Amani Toomer caught that ball in the endzone. It was impossible to tell if it bounced off his arms or the ground......

Crooked Zebras probably just needed to cover.

[PokerProp]

Originally Posted by jcap1p

What I am saying is that you have to hit over 55% in order to beat the vig. It's real tough to do that if you take a ton of games

Actually at -110 the break even rate is hitting 52.38%, and most serious bettors are wagering at -105 worst case between all the reduced juice books and bonus. I think -105 is even high but if it was -105 the break even would be 51.22%

The advice of just betting the best games is great for both recreational and degenerate bettors but for anyone doing it as a source of income will be able to find several wagers per day where there is enough of an edge to overcome the odds and will bet each with varying bet sizes that accounts for the edge in each game.