
The consensus seems to be that revenue share beats CPA hands down. But I worry about taking revenue share at the less popular sites, because I'm afraid my player is going to move on to Party or Stars once they found out about it and try it.
I've done some analysis of my signups over the past 12 months at various sites. I calculated the total affiliate fees paid divided by the total number of real money signups. This is a starting point to compare CPA vs revenue share. If all my players stopped playing tomorrow, it would be a perfect comparison. But they won't (yay), so it undervalues the revenue share somewhat.
Anyway, some examples: at BugsysClub, a crappy site where I get revenue share, I'm only seeing $11 to date per real money account. Basically, people leave for greener pastures. Meanwhile, at Party, no matter what the signup incentive (none, $25, 20%), I see well over $75 per real money account. So while CPA would be a mistake at Party, and is an unavoidable annoyance at Stars, it seems like I'd be better off with CPA at Bugsys.
A site like Pacific, which offers $150-$200 CPA, is harder to judge, but that big CPA is an attractive sure bet. Especially 8 months ago, when Pacific's future was uncertain. I have been using only CPA trackers at Pacific, because of this uncertainty, but now that they are more successful I am considering switching to revenue share.
What do you think? Do other people prefer CPA for crappy sites? What kind of to-date comparisons are you seeing between CPA and revenue share plans?
--Toad
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